Tier list

2026-27 NBA Teams Ranked: Who's Actually a Contender?

The season's underway and the gap between "real contender" and "nice story" is already showing. We've ranked all 29 teams here based on where fans, bettors and league-watchers actually have them: from the Thunder-Spurs two-man show at the top to the teams that are basically playing out the string already.

This isn't a power ranking of who'd win tonight. It's about who has a real shot at the title this June. Think we've got someone too high or too low? That's half the fun, tell us where you'd move them.

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SS Tier: The Two-Horse Race

Oklahoma City Thunder
Photo: Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA, CC BY-SA 2.0 (Wikimedia Commons)

Oklahoma City Thunder

The favorite, full stop. Coming off a Western Conference Finals run and sitting around +270 to +280 on the title odds, nobody's seriously arguing they don't belong at number one. The Thunder-Spurs rematch storyline is basically the plot of the whole season.

About Oklahoma City Thunder

The Oklahoma City Thunder are an NBA team based in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, playing in the Western Conference. Their jerseys primarily use a palette of blue, orange, yellow, and navy, reflecting the state's sunset and thunderstorm imagery.

Current apparel maker
Nike
Home arena
Paycom Center
Franchise relocation
Moved from Seattle (SuperSonics) to Oklahoma City in 2008
San Antonio Spurs
Photo: Frenchieinportland, CC BY 4.0 (Wikimedia Commons)

San Antonio Spurs

Right there with Oklahoma City, and plenty of lists have them flipped at number one. They made the West finals too, and the betting market treats this as a genuine two-team race at the top, with everyone else from the West picking up scraps behind them.

About San Antonio Spurs

NBA franchise based in San Antonio, Texas, known for a sustained run of success and a low-key brand identity.

Colors
Silver and black
Conference
Western

AA Tier: Real Contenders

Philadelphia 76ers
Photo: Smiley28019, CC0 (Wikimedia Commons)

Philadelphia 76ers

The offseason's biggest shake-up. Adding LeBron James and Jaylen Brown turned a fringe team into a legitimate +900 contender almost overnight. Nobody had them this high in the preseason conversation, which tells you how fast this league moves.

About Philadelphia 76ers

NBA franchise based in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, with a patriotic-themed color scheme tied to the city's history.

Colors
Red, white and blue
Conference
Eastern
New York Knicks
Photo: James Trosh from London, UK, CC BY 2.0 (Wikimedia Commons)

New York Knicks

The defending champs, but the respect isn't quite matching the ring. Odds sitting around +800 to +900 suggest real skepticism about a repeat, and some rankings even had them sliding after a rough opening stretch. Still, you don't bet against a team that already proved it in June.

About New York Knicks

NBA franchise based in New York City, one of the league's original franchises with a long-standing fan base.

Colors
Orange and blue
Conference
Eastern
Detroit Pistons
Photo: Keith Allison, CC BY-SA 2.0 (Wikimedia Commons)

Detroit Pistons

Best record in the East a year ago at 61-21, and there's a real argument they grab the top seed again. The debate is whether that record was more schedule than substance, but you can't just wave away 60 wins.

About Detroit Pistons

NBA franchise based in Detroit, Michigan, historically associated with its physical "Bad Boys" teams.

Colors
Red, white and blue
Conference
Eastern
Cleveland Cavaliers
Photo: Marcia Fudge, Public domain (Wikimedia Commons)

Cleveland Cavaliers

Grouped with Detroit and Boston in that next-tier-down conversation, and for good reason. Solid, well-built, not flashy enough to crack the very top but dangerous enough that nobody wants to face them in May.

About Cleveland Cavaliers

NBA franchise based in Cleveland, Ohio, with a wine and gold identity that's shifted through several versions.

Colors
Wine and gold
Conference
Eastern
Boston Celtics
Photo: The White House, Public domain (Wikimedia Commons)

Boston Celtics

The most debated team in this tier after trading away Jaylen Brown. Some fans think they're still good enough to hang with the East's best, others think that trade quietly ended their contention window. We've got them here, but it's shaky ground.

About Boston Celtics

NBA franchise based in Boston, Massachusetts, historically one of the winningest teams in league history.

Colors
Green and white
Conference
Eastern

BB Tier: Flawed But Dangerous

Denver Nuggets
Photo: All-Pro Reels, CC BY-SA 2.0 (Wikimedia Commons)

Denver Nuggets

The textbook "flawed contender worth watching." Good enough to make noise in a loaded West, but rarely the pick to actually cut down nets when people talk it through.

About Denver Nuggets

NBA franchise based in Denver, Colorado, known for reviving its colorful 1980s throwback uniform as a fan favorite.

Colors
Navy and yellow
Conference
Western
Houston Rockets
Photo: Pkantz, CC BY-SA 3.0 (Wikimedia Commons)

Houston Rockets

Some outliers have them finishing third in the West on the strength of Jabari Smith Jr.'s development, and that optimism isn't crazy. Most people still see them a tier below the true contenders, though.

About Houston Rockets

NBA franchise based in Houston, Texas, which has gone through several uniform redesigns over the decades.

Colors
Red and white
Conference
Western
Los Angeles Lakers
Photo: TheVoicelessWriter, CC BY-SA 4.0 (Wikimedia Commons)

Los Angeles Lakers

One of the most argued-about teams on this whole list. Some books have them as a dark horse around +4000, while most rankings barely mention them as contenders at all. We split the difference and put them in the "could surprise you" bucket.

About Los Angeles Lakers

NBA franchise based in Los Angeles, California, one of the league's most decorated teams with multiple championships across different eras.

Colors
Purple and gold
Conference
Western
Atlanta Hawks
Photo: Keith Allison from Baltimore, USA, CC BY-SA 2.0 (Wikimedia Commons)

Atlanta Hawks

Quietly one of the deepest rosters in the league now, with seven or eight guys who can score in double figures on a given night. Still, "deep" and "dangerous" aren't the same thing, and most people see this as an if-everything-clicks team.

About Atlanta Hawks

NBA franchise based in Atlanta, Georgia, known for its bold volt green alternate jerseys as well as its classic red and white set.

Colors
Red, white and volt green
Conference
Eastern

CC Tier: Needs Everything to Break Right

Indiana Pacers
Photo: Amin Eshaker, CC BY-SA 3.0 (Wikimedia Commons)

Indiana Pacers

The classic dark horse pick. Some believe if the roster clicks they could legitimately crash the contender conversation, others don't think they belong anywhere near it. They show up in dark-horse tiers constantly but almost never in actual top-five predictions.

About Indiana Pacers

NBA franchise based in Indianapolis, Indiana, with a long history tied to its blue and gold pinstripe look.

Colors
Blue and gold
Conference
Eastern
Miami Heat
Photo: Keith Allison, CC BY-SA 2.0 (Wikimedia Commons)

Miami Heat

Not a team anyone's picking to win it all, but not a team you write off either. Falls into the long list of solid, middling squads that will make the regular season watchable without threatening June.

About Miami Heat

NBA franchise based in Miami, Florida, known for its distinct culture and alternate jersey lines.

Colors
Red, black and white
Conference
Eastern
Memphis Grizzlies
Photo: Erik Drost, CC BY 2.0 (Wikimedia Commons)

Memphis Grizzlies

Ty Jerome's absurd opening stretch, with 45, 28, and 31 points in his first three games, has people buzzing, but that's a small-sample story more than a contender one. The team around him hasn't generated real title buzz yet.

About Memphis Grizzlies

NBA franchise based in Memphis, Tennessee, known for leaning into local music and culture in its branding.

Colors
Teal and navy
Conference
Western
Golden State Warriors
Photo: Mike D, CC BY-SA 2.0 (Wikimedia Commons)

Golden State Warriors

Strangely quiet in this year's conversation given their history. No strong consensus ranking has emerged either way, which for a franchise this storied is its own kind of statement.

About Golden State Warriors

NBA franchise based in San Francisco, California, known in recent years for championship runs and its distinct Bay Area branding.

Colors
Blue and gold
Conference
Western
Toronto Raptors
Name card: Rank Parade

Toronto Raptors

Landing Kawhi Leonard from the Clippers is a massive swing for a team that wasn't in the contender conversation before. It's too early to know if it moves the needle, but it's the single biggest reason to watch them this year.

About Toronto Raptors

NBA franchise based in Toronto, Canada, the league's only team outside the United States.

Colors
Red and black
Conference
Eastern
Dallas Mavericks
Photo: ctsnow, CC BY 2.0 (Wikimedia Commons)

Dallas Mavericks

Not featured prominently in the top-tier debates one way or the other, which usually means a team sitting in the league's wide middle. Nothing in the research suggests anyone's picking them to contend.

About Dallas Mavericks

NBA franchise based in Dallas, Texas, which shifted its branding toward navy and silver in recent years.

Colors
Navy and silver
Conference
Western

DD Tier: Play-In at Best

Phoenix Suns
Photo: Keith Allison, CC BY-SA 2.0 (Wikimedia Commons)

Phoenix Suns

Absent from the contender talk almost entirely this year. When a roster this talented on paper doesn't even come up in the debates, that says plenty about where expectations have landed.

About Phoenix Suns

NBA franchise based in Phoenix, Arizona, known for its sunburst-themed uniforms of the 1990s.

Colors
Purple and orange
Conference
Western
Utah Jazz
Photo: Stephanie Young Merzel, CC BY 2.0 (Wikimedia Commons)

Utah Jazz

Firmly in rebuild mode with nothing in the current discussion suggesting otherwise. Not a team fans are debating, just one they're waiting on.

About Utah Jazz

NBA franchise based in Salt Lake City, Utah, known for its beloved mountain gradient throwback jersey.

Colors
Navy, yellow and green
Conference
Western
Charlotte Hornets
Cover: Wikipedia

Charlotte Hornets

Same story as several of the East's middle-of-the-pack teams: no contender buzz, no dark-horse mentions, just a season of development and hoping for lottery luck if it doesn't click.

About Charlotte Hornets

NBA franchise based in Charlotte, North Carolina, which brought back its original teal Hornets branding after the name returned to the city.

Colors
Teal and purple
Conference
Eastern
Portland Trail Blazers
Photo: Portland Trail Blazers, Public domain (Wikimedia Commons)

Portland Trail Blazers

Nowhere in the contender or dark-horse conversation this season. A team more focused on its young core than on playoff seeding.

About Portland Trail Blazers

NBA franchise based in Portland, Oregon, known for a simple, long-running red and black identity.

Colors
Red and black
Conference
Western
Vancouver Grizzlies
Name card: Rank Parade

Vancouver Grizzlies

Not part of any contender conversation this year regardless of branding.

About Vancouver Grizzlies

Note: there is no NBA franchise currently called the Vancouver Grizzlies. The Grizzlies franchise played in Vancouver from 1995 to 2001 before relocating to Memphis, where it remains today as the Memphis Grizzlies. For the 2026-27 season, this team would compete as the Memphis Grizzlies, not under a Vancouver name.

Original city
Vancouver, 1995-2001
Current name
Memphis Grizzlies
Relocated
2001
Chicago Bulls
Photo: United Press International, Public domain (Wikimedia Commons)

Chicago Bulls

The Bulls remain stuck in the league's most predictable purgatory, good enough to avoid real tanking, not good enough to threaten anybody in a playoff series. Josh Giddey and the rotating cast of guards give them a fun, fast style that wins them nights in February and means nothing in April. Until Chicago actually commits to a direction, up or down, they stay parked in the middle with this group.

About Chicago Bulls

NBA franchise based in Chicago, Illinois, best known for its championship run in the 1990s.

Colors
Red, black and white
Conference
Eastern

FF Tier: Tanking, Rebuilding, or Both

Washington Wizards
Photo: All-Pro Reels, CC BY-SA 4.0 (Wikimedia Commons)

Washington Wizards

Not in a single contender discussion found anywhere in the research. This is a team playing for the future, not for this spring.

About Washington Wizards

NBA franchise based in Washington, D.C.

Colors
Red, white and blue
Conference
Eastern
Milwaukee Bucks
Photo: Jamaal Magliore defends Tim Duncan in a 2005 game.jpg: Jeramey Jannene derivative work: Lpdrew, CC BY 2.0 (Wikimedia Commons)

Milwaukee Bucks

Giannis Antetokounmpo's departure essentially erased this team from title contention overnight. Strong consensus now places them at the bottom of the league, a brutal fall for a franchise that was a perennial contender.

About Milwaukee Bucks

NBA franchise based in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, which found renewed national attention during its recent championship era.

Colors
Green and cream
Conference
Eastern
Sacramento Kings
Photo: MavsFan28, CC BY-SA 4.0 (Wikimedia Commons)

Sacramento Kings

Ranked dead last, 30th, across basically every preseason list out there. When the consensus is this unanimous, there isn't much of a counter-argument to make.

About Sacramento Kings

NBA franchise based in Sacramento, California, known for its purple color scheme and various lighter purple city editions.

Colors
Purple and black
Conference
Western
Los Angeles Clippers
Photo: LWY, CC BY 2.0 (Wikimedia Commons)

Los Angeles Clippers

The single biggest collapse in the league's outlook this year. Losing Kawhi Leonard to Toronto, getting hit with draft-pick penalties over the salary cap situation, and trading away James Harden and Zubac turned a borderline contender into a team some are picking for under 30 wins.

About Los Angeles Clippers

NBA franchise based in Los Angeles, California, which has gone through multiple rebrands trying to establish its own identity.

Colors
Red and blue
Conference
Western

How we ranked them

We leaned on consensus: betting odds, major outlet tier lists, and what fans are actually arguing about on forums right now. Teams that show up near the top of nearly every list land in S or A. Teams stuck in "if everything breaks right" conversations land in the middle. Teams that lost their best player or their draft capital land where the record says they should. Where the discourse is split, like the Lakers or the Hawks, we picked a side and explain why.

Think we got it wrong?

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FAQ

Who are the favorites to win the 2026-27 NBA title?

The Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs are the clear co-favorites, both coming off Western Conference Finals runs last season with odds hovering around +270 to +280.

Are the Knicks still contenders after winning it all?

Yes, but with real skepticism. As defending champions their odds sit around +800-+900, lower than you'd expect for a title team, and some rankings even had them dipping early in the season.

What happened to the Los Angeles Clippers?

A string of bad news gutted their outlook: Kawhi Leonard left for Toronto, they lost draft picks over a salary cap issue, and they traded away James Harden and Zubac. They've gone from borderline contender to a team some predict will win under 30 games.

Why did the Philadelphia 76ers jump so high in the rankings?

They added LeBron James and Jaylen Brown in the offseason, instantly turning a fringe team into a real contender at around +900 odds.

Are the Milwaukee Bucks still contenders?

No. Giannis Antetokounmpo's departure dropped them to the bottom tier of the league in most current rankings.

Which team is the biggest dark horse this season?

The Indiana Pacers get mentioned most often as a dark horse, though opinions are split on whether that's realistic. The Lakers also show up in some longer-odds dark horse conversations.

More rankings

Image credits
  • Oklahoma City ThunderPhoto: Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA, CC BY-SA 2.0 (Wikimedia Commons) · License · Source
  • San Antonio SpursPhoto: Frenchieinportland, CC BY 4.0 (Wikimedia Commons) · License · Source
  • Philadelphia 76ersPhoto: Smiley28019, CC0 (Wikimedia Commons) · License · Source
  • New York KnicksPhoto: James Trosh from London, UK, CC BY 2.0 (Wikimedia Commons) · License · Source
  • Detroit PistonsPhoto: Keith Allison, CC BY-SA 2.0 (Wikimedia Commons) · License · Source
  • Cleveland CavaliersPhoto: Marcia Fudge, Public domain (Wikimedia Commons) · Source
  • Boston CelticsPhoto: The White House, Public domain (Wikimedia Commons) · Source
  • Denver NuggetsPhoto: All-Pro Reels, CC BY-SA 2.0 (Wikimedia Commons) · License · Source
  • Houston RocketsPhoto: Pkantz, CC BY-SA 3.0 (Wikimedia Commons) · License · Source
  • Minneapolis TimberwolvesLogo: Wikipedia · Source
  • Los Angeles LakersPhoto: TheVoicelessWriter, CC BY-SA 4.0 (Wikimedia Commons) · License · Source
  • Atlanta HawksPhoto: Keith Allison from Baltimore, USA, CC BY-SA 2.0 (Wikimedia Commons) · License · Source
  • Indiana PacersPhoto: Amin Eshaker, CC BY-SA 3.0 (Wikimedia Commons) · License · Source
  • Miami HeatPhoto: Keith Allison, CC BY-SA 2.0 (Wikimedia Commons) · License · Source
  • Memphis GrizzliesPhoto: Erik Drost, CC BY 2.0 (Wikimedia Commons) · License · Source
  • Golden State WarriorsPhoto: Mike D, CC BY-SA 2.0 (Wikimedia Commons) · License · Source
  • Dallas MavericksPhoto: ctsnow, CC BY 2.0 (Wikimedia Commons) · License · Source
  • Phoenix SunsPhoto: Keith Allison, CC BY-SA 2.0 (Wikimedia Commons) · License · Source
  • New Orleans PelicansLogo: Wikipedia · Source
  • Utah JazzPhoto: Stephanie Young Merzel, CC BY 2.0 (Wikimedia Commons) · License · Source
  • Charlotte HornetsCover: Wikipedia · Source
  • Portland Trail BlazersPhoto: Portland Trail Blazers, Public domain (Wikimedia Commons) · Source
  • Washington WizardsPhoto: All-Pro Reels, CC BY-SA 4.0 (Wikimedia Commons) · License · Source
  • Milwaukee BucksPhoto: Jamaal Magliore defends Tim Duncan in a 2005 game.jpg: Jeramey Jannene derivative work: Lpdrew, CC BY 2.0 (Wikimedia Commons) · License · Source
  • Sacramento KingsPhoto: MavsFan28, CC BY-SA 4.0 (Wikimedia Commons) · License · Source
  • Los Angeles ClippersPhoto: LWY, CC BY 2.0 (Wikimedia Commons) · License · Source
  • Chicago BullsPhoto: United Press International, Public domain (Wikimedia Commons) · Source